Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DORIAN-13 Off-shore from 24 Jul 2013 15:00 UTC to 26 Jul 2013 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-13

Off-shore

26 Jul 2013 15 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	-- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	84 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

84 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	24 Jul 2013 09:00	74	No people	No people
2	24 Jul 2013 15:00	93	No people	No people
3	24 Jul 2013 21:00	93	No people	No people
4	25 Jul 2013 03:00	101	No people	No people
5	25 Jul 2013 09:00	101	No people	No people
6	25 Jul 2013 15:00	111	No people	No people
7	25 Jul 2013 21:00	111	No people	No people
8	26 Jul 2013 03:00	93	No people	No people	Dominican Republic, Haiti, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas
9	26 Jul 2013 09:00	84	No people	No people	Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas
10	26 Jul 2013 15:00	84	No people	No people	Dominican Republic, Haiti, Turks and Caicos Islands, Cuba, Bahamas

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	7/24/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.9, -28.1
2	7/24/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	14.3, -29.9
3	7/24/2013 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	14.6, -31.4
4	7/25/2013 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	15.1, -33.2
5	7/25/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15.6, -34.5
6	7/25/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	16, -35.9
7	7/25/2013 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	16.5, -37.8
8	7/26/2013 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	16.6, -39.6
9	7/26/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	17.1, -41.5
10	7/26/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	17.7, -43.4
10	7/27/2013	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.1, -46.4
10	7/27/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.7, -50.3
10	7/28/2013	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	19.2, -54.2
10	7/28/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	19.7, -58.2
10	7/29/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	390000 people	20.2, -64.4	Dominican Republic
10	7/30/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	1.6 million people	20.5, -70	Dominican Republic, Haiti, Turks and Caicos Islands, Cuba, Bahamas
10	7/31/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	21.5, -75	Cuba

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Dominican Republic	Monte Cristi
Dominican Republic	Puerto Plata
Haiti	Nord-Ouest
Turks and Caicos Islands	Turks & Caicos Is.
Cuba	Guantanamo
Cuba	Holguin
Cuba	Santiago de Cuba
Haiti	Nord-Est
Haiti	Nord
Dominican Republic	Espaillat
Dominican Republic	Salcedo
Dominican Republic	Santiago
Dominican Republic	Valverde
Dominican Republic	Duarte
Dominican Republic	Maria Trinidad S
Dominican Republic	Samana
Bahamas	Bahamas

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Cockburn Town		Turks and Caicos Islands	Capital	<1000 people
Monte Cristi	Monti Cristi	Dominican Republic	City	17000 people
Puerto Plata	Puerto Plata	Dominican Republic	City	120000 people
Imbert	Puerto Plata	Dominican Republic	City	7900 people
Lucas Evangelista de Peña	Monti Cristi	Dominican Republic	City	-
Pepillo Salcedo	Monti Cristi	Dominican Republic	City	3800 people
Río San Juan	Espaillat	Dominican Republic	City	-
Nagua	María Trinidad Sánchez	Dominican Republic	City	34000 people
Banes	Holguín	Cuba	City	52000 people
Baracoa	Guantánamo	Cuba	City	47000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 27 Jul 2013 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.